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Major Currencies Morning Report 10-May-2011

The Euro is still hovering around the support for the main ascending channel, with the fluctuations around buying areas for the channel as shown below.


EUR

Momentum indicators are still positive and accordingly we hold onto our positive intraday expectations for today targeting initially 1.4455 then 1.4545. Our expectations require stability above 1.4295.

The trading range for today is among the major support at 1.4150 and the major resistance at 1.4545.

The short term trend is to the upside with steady daily closing above 1.2795 targeting 1.5135.


Support 1.4295 1.4265 1.4220 1.4150 1.4105

Resistance 1.4340 1.4410 1.4455 1.4545 1.4585

Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above we recommend buying the pair with hourly closing above 1.4340 targeting 1.4455 and stop loss below 1.4265 might be appropriate today
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Great British Pound (GBP)


GBP

The declined halted yesterday at 76.4% Fibonacci correction shown above; the pair rebounded to the upside approaching the retest of the breached neckline at 1.6455 accompanied by Stochastic entering overbought areas.We expect an intraday bearish move today targeting the support for the ascending channel at 1.6210 which requires stability below the retest areas mentioned above. We remind of the importance of observing the pair when reaching the support as mentioned in our weekly report.

The trading range for today is among the major support at 1.6210 and the major resistance at 1.6525.

The short term trend is to the upside with steady daily closing above 1.5315 with targets at 1.7000.


Support 1.6385 1.6300 1.6250 1.6210 1.6175

Resistance 1.6455 1.6525 1.6575 1.6610 1.6675

Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is selling the pair around 1.6455 targeting 1.6300 and stop loss with hourly closing above 1.6525 might be appropriate today

Previous

Japanese Yen (JPY)


JPY

The pair is stable below the main descending channel’s resistance that currently descended to 80.75. Accordingly,we favor the likelihood for the bearish intraday move supported by the negativity of SMA 50. Targets start from 79.00 and require stability below 80.75.

The trading range for today is among the major support at 78.40 and the major resistance at 81.90.

The short term trend is to the downside as far as 89.35 remains intact with targets at 77.70.


Support 79.80 79.00 78.40 78.00 77.70

Resistance 80.75 81.50 82.00 82.50 83.00

Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is selling the pair around 80.75 targeting 79.00 and stop loss above 82.00 might be appropriate today

Previous

Swiss Franc (CHF)


CHF

The pair is still moving within a tight range since yesterday, with volatility around the 23.6% Fibonacci correction. Stochastic is within oversold areas with the SMA 50 support ahead which supports the possibility for the upside correction extension; we still need confirmations for this move with the breach of 0.8795. Therefore, we remain neutral for now to observe the pair between the critical 0.8795 resistance and 0.8710 support.

The trading range for today is among the major support at 0.8550 and the major resistance at 0.8945.

The short term trend is to the downside with steady daily closing below 1.0330 targeting 0.8000.


Support 0.8710 0.8665 0.8625 0.8550 0.8485

Resistance 0.8795 0.8855 0.8900 0.8945 0.9010

Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above we remain neutral and recommend observing the pair around the mentioned areas for more confirmations
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Canadian Dollar (CAD)


CAD

Yesterday’s closing was below the resistance for the main descending channel, yet we can see today’s opening above this resistance, yet the SMA 50 and 38.2% Fibonacci correction offer strong resistance ahead for the pair accompanied by the negativity on Stochastic. Those facts combined support the likelihood for the downside move today targeting 0.9500 then 0.9445. We should pay attention that the breach of 0.9710 will fail our expectations and extend the upside correction due to the bullish pattern which was mentioned in our report yesterday.

The trading range for today is among the major support at 0.9445 and the major resistance at 0.9770.

The short term trend is to the downside as far as 1.0665 remains intact targeting 0.9000.


Support 0.9620 0.9570 0.9500 0.9445 0.9400

Resistance 0.9645 0.9710 0.9770 0.9845 0.9915

Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is selling the pair around with hourly closing below 0.9620 targeting 0.9445 and stop loss above 0.9710 might be appropriate today

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