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Major Currencies Morning Report 13-April-2011

The euro succeeded in stabilizing above the critical support that rose to 1.4445, while Stochastic lost its upside momentum which might increase the fluctuation and volatility around the support.


EUR

In general, stability above this support and the SMA 50 support our expectations for an intraday bullish move today targeting areas around 1.4600. A breach and stability below 1.4445 delays the upside scenario and will push the pair south to unload the negative momentum.

The trading range for today is among the major support at 1.4300 and the major resistance at 1.4725.

The short term trend is to the upside with steady daily closing above 1.2795 targeting 1.5135.


Support 1.4445 1.4375 1.4345 1.4300 1.4230

Resistance 1.4500 1.4580 1.4625 1.4725 1.4800

Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above we recommend buying the pair around 1.4445 targeting 1.4625 and stop loss below 1.4375 might be appropriate
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Great British Pound (GBP)


GBP

The pair is still hovering around the critical support at 1.6250 and finding difficulty in moving higher due to the negativity on Stochastic. Therefore, we expect the volatility to prevail until the pair acquires the needed positive momentum to resume the intraday upside move expected for today supported by the SMA 50 and targets 1.6500. Breaching areas of 1.6250 and stability below it might push the pair south initially towards 1.6150.

The trading range for today is among the major support at 1.6150 and the major resistance at 1.6500.

The short term trend is to the upside with steady daily closing above 1.5315 with targets at 1.7000.


Support 1.6250 1.6200 1.6175 1.6110 1.6060

Resistance 1.6300 1.6350 1.6400 1.6450 1.6500

Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is buying the pair around 1.6250 targeting 1.6400 and stop loss below 1.6175 might be appropriate

Previous

Japanese Yen (JPY)


JPY

The pair reached 38.2% Fibonacci correction once again which continues to offer good support for the pair. This level supports the resumption of the upside correction supported by the SMA 50 and Stochastic entering overbought areas. Therefore, we see the likelihood for the pair to resume the upside correction targeting next 50% correction at 85.65, yet breaching 83.50 will push the pair to the downside further to retest the breached resistance for the descending channel that currently turned into support at 81.65.

The trading range for today is among the major support at 82.70 and the major resistance at 85.65.

The short term trend is to the downside as far as 89.35 remains intact with targets at 77.70.


Support 83.90 83.50 82.75 82.15 81.75

Resistance 84.50 85.00 85.65 85.95 86.30

Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is buying the pair around 83.50 targeting 85.00 and stop loss below 82.70 might be appropriate

Previous

Swiss Franc (CHF)


CHF

The pair continues to trade with a downside bias and we can notice the stability below the psychological 0.9000 areas; momentum indicators are still oversold and that is further restricting the move towards the previously suggested downside targets. The SMA 50 offers downside pressure on the pair and accordingly we favor the continuation of the downside move targeting the return to the main downside wave through the support at 0.8840 –the resistance for the previously breached descending channel- and stability below 0.9105 is essential for our expectations to prevail.

The trading range for today is among the major support at 0.8800 and the major resistance at 0.9105.

The short term trend is to the downside with steady daily closing below 1.0330 targeting 0.8000.


Support 0.8950 0.8885 0.8800 0.8750 0.8700

Resistance 0.9000 0.9030 0.9105 0.9190 0.9235

Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is selling the pair around 0.9030 targeting 0.8885 and stop loss above 0.9125 might be appropriate

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Canadian Dollar (CAD)


CAD

The pair breached again the resistance for the intraday descending channel and approached retesting the breached support at 0.9665 while momentum indicators are approaching overbought areas. Trading is currently around the SMA 50 which is preventing the pair from the resuming the upside move. In general, we expect an intraday downside move affected by trading within the main descending channel targeting areas from 0.9500 then 0.9400. Breaching areas of 0.9665 will delay the bearish targets.

The trading range for today is among the major support at 0.9400 and the major resistance at 0.9740.

The short term trend is to the downside as far as 1.0665 remains intact targeting 0.9000.


Support 0.9560 0.9495 0.9470 0.9400 0.9350

Resistance 0.9615 0.9665 0.9700 0.9740 0.9795

Recommendation Based on the charts and explanations above our opinion is selling the pair around 0.9665 targeting 0.9500 and stop loss above 0.9740 might be appropriate

Previous

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