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USD Index Under Microscope

By examining the daily charts, we can see that the index is still trading within a downside trend located inside the main downside channel as shown in the picture above.

usdix03_05_2011pulse

This downside channel has carried the pair from the top at 88.70 to the current levels, we also note that the index was able to breach a pivot support level shown above in red.

Moreover, the index is also under negative pressure from the SMA 50, which is making us believe the index will continue the downside trend over the short and medium terms.
 

The targets extend beyond the historical bottom at 70.70 to reach 68.00 as a first target.

The momentum indicators are showing the index is trading within an oversold area, which might force the index to fluctuate and tend to undergo a slight upside correctional wave that could lead the index to retest the pivot support that was breached recently at 74.25 before continuing its downside trend.

Overall, we believe that the way is open for the index to acquire the aforementioned targets, but we should note that breaching the 74.25 and settling above this level would delay the downside targets and force the index to rise back towards the main resistance for the downside channel at 76.90.





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