Saturday, May 18, 2013
Home GAFNN Blogs Member Blogs Indian Economy in 2010

Georgia Anderson's Financial News Network Blog

Come share your knowledge and views on the financial markets and more..
Feb 11

Indian Economy in 2010

u_vat Posted by: u_vat Print PDF
Tagged in: Untagged 

Well here we are in 2010 after traumatic 2009 which saw a lots of ups and downs or rather downs and downs in world wide economy and India wasn't a exception to it.  Since,  its largest trading partner US was feeling the heat so it has its effects on India's economy too . Though Indian banking system didn't feel that much of heat due to RBI's excellent measures which were earlier considered very conservative but now being upheld, other sectors like manufacturing, IT services etc. were hit hard and job cuts, lack of new opportunities gripped market. Some being real worries whereas others being just speculations. Government took some preventive steps like providing stimulus packages and increasing job opportunities in public sector companies, some how economy managed a 6.7 % of positive growth rate which according to some agencies was to stay between 5-6% only.

Well that's the story of Indian economy in brief for the period of 2009 but what we are looking at now is more important. The scene looks promising:

Auto sale up by 45%, IT majors like Wipro and TCS announcing of hiring 7,500 and 30,000 people respectively, airlines too have started recruitment process of pilots, cabin crew indicating jobs are surfacing again, forecasts of electronic sector to rise at 11%, IT industry at 5.5%,   prime minister's economic advisory council recommending partial roll back of stimulus package, forecasts by CSO  of growth rate being 7.2%, by finance ministry to be around 7.75%  and all... seems like economy getting back on track but what I'm worried about is the food prices. What the hell happening on that front? It has been rocketing since last year. I know world wide shortage of food which was fueled by severe drought situation in India are behind this mess up but mismanagement is also one of the major causes. I don't know if proper management itself would have been enough to nullify the shortage created by drought but I'm sure it would have reduced its effect to a greater extent.  I don't think tightening monetary policy alone going to help much. Ignorance of agriculture sector, irresponsible behavior, bad policies and lethargic actions against profiteers can't be overlooked. It would be really interesting to see how much agriculture supports in economy's  growth rate and how much it drags down it during 2010.

Comments (2)add
Mcneil
...
written by Mcneil , February 11, 2010
How will the IT outsourcing industry perform in India this year? especially since the US a major outsourcing contract provider appears not to be performing well economically ?
report abuse
vote down
vote up
Votes: +0
u_vat
...
written by u_vat , February 12, 2010
US economy is on shaky grounds indeed but pvt. enterprise will find new markets to sustain growth-isn't it inevitable?.....this crisis helped IT in the sense that a lot of firms(in US & EU) will now look forward to trim their costs & hence offload all tasks that do not form a part of their revenue model to offshore firms. ~5% looks realistic. Indian IT has this comparative Advantage which will see them enjoy a market share that will help them make money in the medium term(at least). I see your concern is fragile jobless recovery in main street @ US. well, we will see agg. D pick up in the retail space in late 2010. firms might not hire but they can not compromise on their overheads & other logistics capex. we have seen many a small biz go bust in 2008-09, that trend might continue....biz might see a wave of consolidation in US & EU.... that might help them become leaner & get better revenues. as confidence is restored firms shall up their IT exp but again this is over 1 year. IT firms in India have evolved in the past 1 yr. they are able to cut costs & eliminate uncertainties so we might see good recovery in revenue & margins as early as Q4 2010.




report abuse
vote down
vote up
Votes: +0
You must be logged in to post a comment. Please register if you do not have an account yet.

busy

freeebook_01

freeebook_01

Jose Maria Esquerdo
nardo
Robert Reeves
Peter Smith
Abbas Zolfi Khangah
Damian Richardson
Michael Nobes
Piero
lethabo maesela
luis flores
Bruce H
Jake Hampton
David Holmes
Matt
Shazi Khan
Ashley Taczalla
Joseph
TEBOURBI
Jery Wilson
Earl Clark
Souls
Gabriel R. Martinez
giampiero maffei

Disclaimer

There is substantial risk of loss in trading commodity futures, options and off-exchange foreign currency products. Each investor must consider whether this is a suitable investment.

Trades or trade recommendations made on this site have not been made by Georgia Anderson.

Online Users

0 users and 425 guests online

Follow GAFNN