GAFNN.com Blog

THE NON FARM PAYROLLS CAME OUT WORSE THEN EXPECTED THIS AM. THE CONSENSUS WAS 170K THE ACTUAL WAS 115K. WE LOOK FOR A DEVIATION OF 35K ABOVE OR BELOW THE CONSENSUS. IN THIS CASE THE NUMBER CAME OUT MORE THEN 35K BELOW THE CONSENSUS AND WE THEN EXPECT HEAVY SELLING IN THIS MARKET. LOOK FOR CONTINUE SELLING NEXT WEEK WITH DOWNSIDE TARGETS AT 1340.75, 1315.25 AND 1296.00.

The emini sp is currently in a key price range with the bottom of the range falling at 1387.50 and the top of the range at 1408.25. This area is the persistence zone on the weekly profile within Derivative Concepts proprietary trading method called Zone-Trader Philosophy, and it represents where the fight is the greatest between the bulls and the bears. Today the ESM12 opened inside this zone suggesting there is no control bias and the bulls and the bears are currently fighting for control of the market on the week. This tells us traders to expect an increase in volatility and a whipsaw price action, which will lead to stops being run on both sides of the market. The Zone-Trader Pivot on the Monthly Profile is currently falling at 1393.00, since this is the point of control we can utilize this price level to determine trade direction. If the ESM12 is above 1393.00 and making new highs look for buys on the short term, if it is below 1393.00 and making new lows look for sells on the short term. This should help keep day traders on the right side of the market over the next few trading sessions. Also take note of the half and quarter lines that fall within this zone which is designated in orange as they will play a role in support resistance and direction as well.

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